Opinion: Polls on a roll

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With 2015 being a high-profile election year in the great State of Louisiana, with the governor’s race at the top of the heap, it is not surprising, therefore, that polls are on a roll to detect the views of the state’s voters.

Here is a look at the MarblePort’s results from a survey of 1,071 likely voters on March 17:

Governor’s Race

lou BurnettU.S. Sen. David Vitter (R) – 33.5%.

State Rep. John Bel Edwards (D) – 31.3%.

Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne (R) – 14%.

Public Service Commissioner Scott Angelle (R) – 7.2%.

The governor’s race is shaping up to be a runoff between a Republican and Democrat at this point in time.  It is still early in the race and it is not known who else may enter the race.

Governor Bobby Jindal

The MarblePort poll, like the Triumph Campaigns poll, is not good news for Gov. Bobby Jindal.

MarblePort finds that only 28% approve of the job he is doing as governor, while 63% disapprove.

Trust in the Legislature

MarblePort found that only six points separate Republicans from Democrats as far as who is most trusted in the state Legislature.  Of respondents, 46% said Republicans; 40% Democrats.  Nine percent said neither and 5% were undecided.

No Party/Other Party voters think Democrats are more trustworthy by a 37-31% margin.  Saying neither were 23% and 9% were undecided.

Political Environment

According to the MarblePort poll, Democrats are benefiting from a much improved political environment when compared to the 2014 U.S. Senate election.  In close races, this should help Democrat candidates up and down the ballot, the poll concludes.

The mood of voters is not good for incumbents.  An overwhelmingly large majority of voters believe the state is off on the wrong track.  Only 30% said the state is on the right track, while 70% said it’s on the wrong track.

Voter dissatisfaction is across the board.  The poll concludes that considering Republicans are in control of all statewide offices and the state Legislature, this could provide an opportunity for Democrats to make gains.

Angelle Internal Poll

Jeremy Alford at LaPolitics.com revealed an internal poll that was conducted by McLaughlin and Associates for gubernatorial candidate Scott Angelle

The results were Vitter 32.9%, Edwards 16.9%, Dardenne 10.7%, Angelle 7.4% and Undecided 31.4%.

But the poll showed Vitter with 15% of the black vote, which he will have a difficult time capturing in the October election, given the state’s past voting patterns.

Giving Edwards a large portion of those black voters – if he is the only viable Democrat on the ballot – would likely give him a big bump in his percentage of the vote, according to Alford’s report. At the same time, it would bring down Vitter’s percentage of the vote.

The March 28 election

There are two important tax propositions on the ballot on March 28 in Bossier City.  They are:

*Renewal of an 8.45-mill property tax for a period of 10 years for the purpose of operating and maintaining the Fire and Police Departments.  It is estimated to bring in nearly $5 million a year.

*Renewal of a 2.75-mill property tax for a period of 10 years for the purpose of operating and maintaining the Fire and Police Departments.  It is estimated to bring in $1.6 million a year.

Lou Gehrig Burnett is a seasoned veteran of politics. He publishes Fax-Net Update, a weekly political newsletter.